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Russia is escalating a hybrid campaign to test the resilience of European states and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization’s (NATO) without triggering collective defense measures under Article 5. Incident data
The 2026 to 2027 El Niño is converting a climate event into a likely physical security risk environment across Latin America, Southeast Asia, and the Greater Horn of Africa. Converging

On September 23, after months of rising tension, the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) and factions of the anti-government alliance launched offensives across Tigray, Amhara, and Afar. Only three of