KEY INSIGHTS Cameroon is facing growing pressures on its stability as terrorist violence expands in the Far North, while President Paul Biya’s recent prolonged 73-day absence and continuing succession uncertainty
KEY INSIGHTS Italy faces a low-level persistent domestic security threat from militant anarchists, with recent attacks indicating renewed activity by the insurrectionist fringe and Informal Anarchist Federation/International Revolutionary Front (FAI/FRI)-aligned
KEY INSIGHTS Suspected sabotage and drone activity targeting European critical infrastructure have increased concerns Russia’s hybrid campaign against NATO states is becoming more aggressive. The discovery of an explosive-equipped drone
KEY INSIGHTS Morocco has repeatedly shown it can use irregular migration as leverage against Spain and the European Union (EU). This pattern culminated on July 30, when more than 70,000
KEY INSIGHTS The July 29 drone strike on the U.S.-owned floating storage and regasification unit (FSRU) Energos Winter at Damietta port, Egypt, was the first confirmed attack on Egyptian territory
KEY INSIGHTS Undersea cables carry the vast majority of global internet, financial, and communications traffic, making them among the world’s most critical yet vulnerable pieces of infrastructure. Recent incidents involving
KEY INSIGHTS Russia has intensified its missile campaign against Kyiv, with the use of hypersonic-capable systems, signaling a more volatile phase in the Ukraine war marked by heightened coercion, strategic
KEY INSIGHTS Ethiopia plans to hold a general election on June 1, in a degraded pre-election security environment and we assess the election will proceed in a fractured environment, with
KEY INSIGHTS Piracy in the Indian Ocean and Gulf of Aden has resurged since March 2026, driven by Somali pirate action groups (PAG) exploiting reduced international naval presence, security complacency,
